Question
विदेशी विनिमय जोखिम-अनावरण (Foreign Exchange Exposure) क्या है? लेन-देन जोखिम (Transaction Exposure), रूपांतरण जोखिम (Translation Exposure) तथा आर्थिक जोखिम (Economic Exposure) की उपयुक्त व्यावसायिक उदाहरणों सहित चर्चा कीजिए।
Answer :
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Foreign exchange exposure refers to the degree to which the financial position, cash flows, profitability, assets, liabilities, or overall market value of a business may be affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. It arises when a firm conducts international business transactions, holds assets or liabilities denominated in foreign currencies, or competes in markets where exchange rate movements influence its prices and costs. Since exchange rates are continuously changing, multinational corporations and firms engaged in international trade face uncertainty regarding the domestic-currency value of foreign-currency receipts and payments. Foreign exchange exposure is therefore an important issue in International Business Finance because it directly affects profitability, cash flows, financial statements, competitiveness, and firm value. Foreign exchange exposure is generally classified into three major types: transaction exposure, translation exposure, and economic exposure. Although all three arise from exchange rate fluctuations, they differ in their nature, time horizon, and impact on the business. Transaction exposure arises when a firm has contractual foreign-currency receivables or payables whose domestic-currency value may change between the date of the transaction and the date of actual settlement. It is therefore associated with specific international business transactions and creates a potential gain or loss because of exchange rate movements. For example, suppose an Indian company exports machinery to a US customer for USD 1 million, with payment due after three months. On the date of the export contract, the exchange rate is ₹83 per US dollar. The expected value of the receivable is therefore ₹8.3 crore. If, after three months, the rupee appreciates and the exchange rate becomes ₹80 per dollar, the company will receive only ₹8 crore when it converts the USD 1 million into rupees. The company consequently suffers a foreign exchange loss of ₹30 lakh compared with the original expected value. Conversely, if the rupee depreciates to ₹86 per dollar, the company will receive ₹8.6 crore and obtain an exchange gain of ₹30 lakh. Transaction exposure can occur in both exports and imports. An Indian importer that has to pay USD 500,000 after six months faces the risk that the rupee may depreciate before payment. If the exchange rate rises from ₹83 to ₹87 per dollar, the rupee cost of the payment increases from ₹4.15 crore to ₹4.35 crore. Thus, transaction exposure directly affects the cash flows of the firm. Other examples include foreign-currency loans, interest payments, dividends payable to foreign shareholders, royalties, lease payments, and purchases of raw materials from foreign suppliers. Firms commonly manage transaction exposure through forward contracts, futures, options, currency swaps, and other hedging techniques. A forward contract, for instance, allows a company to lock in an exchange rate for a future foreign-currency payment or receipt, thereby reducing uncertainty. Translation exposure, also known as accounting exposure, arises when the financial statements of a foreign subsidiary have to be converted from the subsidiary's functional currency into the parent company's reporting currency. Unlike transaction exposure, translation exposure does not necessarily involve an
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