Question

"A System of Floating exchange rate fails when government ignores the verdict of the exchange markets on their policies and resort to direct controls over trade and capital flows". Justify the statement.

24 Oct 2025
Answer :
Word Count : 1101
A system of floating exchange rates is fundamentally designed to allow the currency value of a country to be determined by the forces of demand and supply in the foreign exchange market. In such a system, the exchange rate adjusts automatically in response to changes in trade balances, capital flows, and macroeconomic conditions, reflecting the relative strength or weakness of a country’s economy. It serves as a signal to policymakers and market participants, enabling them to respond to economic imbalances, inflationary pressures, or external shocks. However, the effectiveness of a floating exchange rate system depends heavily on the adherence of the government to market signals rather than overriding them through interventions. The floating exchange rate system operates on the principle that currencies fluctuate freely according to market fundamentals. For example, if a country has a current account deficit, the demand for foreign currency exceeds the supply, which would naturally lead to a depreciation of the domestic currency. This depreciation would make exports more competitive and imports more expensive, gradually correcting the deficit. Similarly, capital inflows or outflows affect the currency value, with investors reacting to interest rates, economic growth, and political stability. The system assumes that such automatic adjustments will maintain external balance over time without requiring rigid policy measures. When a government ignores the “verdict” of the foreign exchange market and imposes direct controls on trade and capital flows, the natural mechanism of currency adjustment is disrupted. Direct controls may include restrictions on imports and exports, licensing requirements, fixed exchange rates, capital controls, or limits on foreign investment. While these measures might be
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